Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 6.003364 6.848189 7.780252 8.886656 10.166556 11.603392 13.342523
2025-05-25 4.796561 5.874841 7.159529 8.809596 10.882276 13.411961 16.752248
2025-06-01 4.024075 5.189585 6.658279 8.657687 11.328386 14.800268 19.700231
2025-06-08 3.463252 4.654787 6.225574 8.467424 11.616593 15.929684 22.364924
2025-06-15 3.216357 4.484913 6.226014 8.818907 12.631358 18.107821 26.708847
2025-06-22 2.939731 4.231927 6.068714 8.907865 13.253778 19.766269 30.474691
2025-06-29 2.670869 3.955101 5.838357 8.847949 13.624656 21.062279 33.814879
2025-07-06 2.432322 3.695354 5.600755 8.739908 13.890878 22.200380 37.014159
2025-07-13 2.316299 3.608851 5.614000 9.018671 14.793562 24.445767 42.342525
2025-07-20 2.196603 3.503085 5.583040 9.215495 15.571083 26.554648 47.692679
2025-07-27 2.117788 3.454503 5.636789 9.553972 16.619499 29.238295 54.436425
2025-08-03 1.946796 3.236976 5.388805 9.342865 16.663451 30.113588 57.844688
2025-08-10 1.805495 3.060246 5.198440 9.221430 16.869167 31.331503 62.141480
2025-08-17 1.681405 2.902922 5.027932 9.118390 17.096168 32.612102 66.742353
2025-08-24 1.561332 2.742534 4.837627 8.958093 17.191400 33.636740 70.934076
2025-08-31 1.447806 2.584719 4.638414 8.760346 17.188024 34.454355 74.776381
2025-09-07 1.419702 2.581522 4.724121 9.125079 18.362615 37.847424 84.912126
2025-09-14 1.358667 2.511303 4.676631 9.217403 18.976190 40.109256 92.744303
2025-09-21 1.284147 2.409419 4.559517 9.155216 19.249981 41.650755 99.060702
2025-09-28 1.210089 2.302881 4.424750 9.043085 19.400820 42.928145 104.904543
2025-10-05 1.184519 2.290268 4.476332 9.332409 20.482054 46.487062 117.166275
2025-10-12 1.151383 2.259778 4.488713 9.536708 21.388896 49.740107 129.145418
2025-10-19 1.133937 2.259955 4.564285 9.888073 22.679945 54.092420 144.872200